Probably not. Biden's popularity is in the tank and voters are feeling the sting of inflation, especially in the grocery stores. And yet, voters handed the Democrats strong victories last night, where abortion was on the ballot or where candidates who supported reproductive rights were on the ballot. The Democrats campaigned hard on abortion rights and it paid off.Defining issue of 2024: A referendum on Biden’s economy AND TRUMP WILL BE THE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE.
So, when you have that kind of voter behavior at the ballot box, it's pretty clear abortion rights will be the defining issue next year; just as it was last year and is this year.
You are right about Trump being the Republican nominee. That outcome is highly likely. But with the 14th Amendments cases now active in various state courts, we don't know if he will be on the ballot. And with the criminal cases now underway, he may be in jail. And with the NY civil fraud trial nearing completion, and his New York businesses about to be stripped from his control, and the myth of his great wealth about to be shattered, we don't know how many MAGA people will peel away from the now weak man, making it impossible for Trump to win, even if he somehow gets past the 14th Amendment and criminal items.
It presents an interesting picture, doesn't it? Trump will be the Republican nominee. And the Republicans may end up nominating someone who is not on the ballot, is a convicted felon, is in jail, and is broke.
As I said, keep up the good work MAGA people. You are a self-destructive force within the Republican Party doing more damage than the Democrats could ever hope to do.
Finally, as I've been saying for months, I'm not sure Biden will be the Democratic candidate in 2024. His health may not hold out.
Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear, a Democrat incumbent, was soundly re-elected in this red state last night. In his first election, he just squeaked by with a tiny margin of victory. This time, voters handed him a decisive win. You can be sure all sorts of Democrats are whispering behind the scenes that this guy should be the presidential candidate in 2024, instead of Biden. And it's a safe bet that a very quiet team in the Beshear campaign is gaming out that possibility now.
In the meantime, GO, MAGA, GO! The extreme anti-abortion positions you clung to in Kentucky helped alienate voters there such that you lost the statewide referendum on abortion rights last year, and your Trump-endorsed gubernatorial candidate was soundly defeated last night. Yes! GO, MAGA, GO! Keep putting up anti-abortion extremist candidates the people don't want. It works every time ... for the Democrats.