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As readers of this thread know, I'm posting poll results week by week as Election Day approaches. My purpose is to document the poll results on certain dates so we can see how accurate or inaccurate the polls were after the votes are counted. There is a wrinkle, however. It's the unusually high...

Coincidental with what? See this page to track Michigan polls and the quality ratings FiveThirtyEight assigns to them. Michigan Polls You are right about the Trafalger Michigan poll. Is there a reason you do not mention the six other Michigan polls shown here? RealClearPolitics - Election 2020...

The man is singing Diane's and my song! After 10 years as expediters, Diane and i came off the road to open a gym (Anytime Fitness Port Orange, FL). Since then, I took up powerlifting and now compete in the Master 3 class (age 60-70). Our gym specializes in active aging. We have numerous members...

Have you seen a doctor for your vertigo? I had a touch of it a while back and learned from my doctor about YouTube videos that show an exercise that can be done to help. In my case, the exercise cured the problem. No more vertigo and the cure was near instant. That said, vertigo is caused by...

Congratulations! Yours is a classic habit-change story. By changing your behavior, you literally rewired the circuits in your brain, such that the circuits that fired before and produced cravings don't fire now. By not using the circuits over time, those neural pathways faded. While the old...

We can pick individual polls to support one point of view or another regarding poll accuracy. My approach is to cite the aggregate of all polls reported by FiveThirtyEight. Within that universe there are polls that will prove to be close to or exactly on the mark, and those what will be further...

Thank you. I see at the top of the chart, the final summary of the polls shows Clinton up by 2.1%, which is EXACTLY the margin she won the popular vote by. As I said above, the national polls do not account for the Electoral College. They measure the popular vote. By this measure, the 2016...

Perhaps for you, Turtle. I remain hopeful that civility will improve. I do not believe people like being at each other's throats. I like to believe that people get tired of fighting and eventually move on to better days. There are numerous Democrats who are bitter about the grievances they...

This is good. It shows the poll results about 3 weeks out from Election Day, 2016 (Nov 8). The closer a poll is taken to Election Day, the more accurate it can be presumed to be as something that projects the outcome. The 2016 data posted above showed Clinton leading in most polls by zero to...

OK. I think I understand your point. Some people lie to the pollsters because they want to make the Democrats feel bad. But I remain confused about how the lying itself actually has that effect. How exactly does lying to a pollster produce this result? A pollster calls a voter. The Trump voter...

I have not heard of Operation Chaos until you mentioned it. A Google search shows Operation Chaos was an effort to get Republicans to vote for Bernie Sanders in the open Democratic Primary in S.C. While the idea got a bit of press and was promoted by Trump and Limbaugh, Republicans did not...

Update: 4 Weeks Out: Biden + 9.0 3 Weeks Out: Biden +10.4 2 Weeks Out: 1 Week Out: 1 Day Out:

A continual theme in this forum is poll inaccuracy. Below is a snapshot of the polls as they stand to date. It is from FiveThirtyEight, an entity that reports data from numerous polls. I share this not to argue about the accuracy or inaccuracy of today's polling, but to document what the polls...

People are jailed for tax fraud. That's different than disallowed deductions. I do not disagree. That is something I am definitely NOT going to do. My time would be better spent reviewing my own business tax returns. As I said elsewhere in this thread, tax law is vague and complex. The...

I want to modify my statement about haircuts. After a little reading about the tax destructibility of haircuts, it may not be the case that a deductions for haircuts (hair styling) are allowed. On the other hand, given the trademark nature of Trump's hair, he might succeed in convincing the IRS...

Despite Trump's best efforts to keep them under wraps, his tax returns are moving closer and closer to public view. They are being leaked to news organizations. Courts are ruling against Trump and in favor of investigating entities who want those returns turned over to them. That said, Trump's...

Among super-PACs, Biden is leading Trump 3 to 1. Are the big-money GOP donors reducing their support? Story here

The self-destruction continues. At yesterday's coronavirus press briefing, Trump associated himself with Dr. Stella Immanuel. He previously did so by retweeting a video that included her remarks about COVID-19 and hydroxychloroquine. In addition to claiming she has a cure for COVID-19...

OK. I'll grant that response. In my post above, the response I had in mind was more like an actual relief bill that would be signed into law soon enough (like last week or earlier) that would give all Americans an idea of what or what is not coming next. What we have now is more uncertainty and...

Can you provide a link to one of the better studies? It seems preposterous to me what you are suggesting. I'm interested in learning more.