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The vantage point you have watching TV is inferior to those of the Democratic and Republican party poll watchers who are physically in the room, watching every move made by the poll workers. If there were irregularities worthy of note, you can be certain at least some of the poll watchers in...

Regarding the polls ... I'm realizing I placed too much trust in "scientific" polling. Now reading post-mortem analyses of 2020 election polls, and more about polling history and methods in general, I find myself moving toward a new belief that public opinion cannot be accurately or...

I would not trust them to do the job. We're hiring two new employees this week. Onboarding them takes a great deal of additional time so I'm not free to process the election news like I would otherwise be. I can say that with the little news and commentary I've watched so far, is infuriating to...

Expecting to wake to a Biden win this morning, I woke to a yet uncertain result. What came to mind was a quote made a week or so ago by Republican pollster Frank Luntz: "Republican pollster Frank Luntz told Fox News’ Bret Baier on Thursday night, that his "profession is done" if President Trump...

FiveThirtyEight finalized its polling tally at 12:14 a.m. Election Day 4 Weeks Out: Biden +9.0 3 Weeks Out: Biden +10.4 2 Weeks Out: Biden +10.7 1 Week Out: Biden +9.4 1 Day Out: Biden + 8.5 Final Tally: Biden + 8.4 Above, 11 days ago, I listed the FiveThirtyEight tally of 13 so-called...

With a high emphasis on this year's vote count, and a somewhat popular idea that the votes should be quickly counted, it should be noted that it is not just common but the normal way of things for votes to be counted, not instantly, but over the next several days following Election Day. While...

4 Weeks Out: Biden +9.0 3 Weeks Out: Biden +10.4 2 Weeks Out: Biden +10.7 1 Week Out: Biden +9.4 1 Day Out: Biden + 8.5

OK. In response to my post, you cited ONE case where someone called Mr. Cahaly "crazy." That's one. One case is not "often." Unless you can show numerous other examples where Cahaly and/or Trafalger were called crazy, it is simply not true that "they often call them crazy." I stand corrected...

While early voting continues in some states, and the final numbers are not yet known, the early voting turnout (in person and by mail) has been astounding. While the numbers are not yet known, one thing is. The voter suppression efforts conducted by some have not worked. Voter enthusiasm is high...

I think not, Muttly. I'm posting the poll numbers I am for the reason stated. I'm genuinely interested in comparing the poll results to the Election Day results after the results are known. I've been reading a lot about the polls and pollsters along the way. Because it is an outlier, and...

If you go to Google news and do a search of "Trafalgar polls" you will find numerous mentions of them.

Have you thought ahead to the election night results, or the following days if the vote is close and it takes time to determine the result? A lot of people are emotionally engaged in the election outcome. If your side loses, how will you feel? If your side wins, how will you feel? If your...

This piece makes the case that the polls are wrong. It will be nice to review when we reviews the polls after the votes are counted. Don't believe the polls - Trump is winning

Less of a concern today as the truly incompetent supervisor of elections, who occupied that seat for a long time, has been replaced.

Now that Trump has established a 6-3 majority of conservative judges on the U.S. Supreme Court, I'm wondering; how many Christian conservative voters, who have never liked Trump's non-Christian ways, but voted for him to support their high-priority pro-life agenda, will decide that Trump is no...

Maybe because it's like the report I posted say it is? No story to report. Allegations and rumors generated by Trump and friends, but nothing that can be objectively substantiated; even by the Trump-friendly Wall Street Journal.

Voter remorse seems apparent in a number of states; as indicated by the number of states Trump won in 2016 that the polls now show Biden ahead. Black voter turnout is said to be much higher in 2020 than 2016, suggesting a different kind of remorse; remorse about not showing up to vote in 2016...

4 Weeks Out: Biden +9.0 3 Weeks Out: Biden +10.4 2 Weeks Out: Biden +10.7 1 Week Out: Biden +9.4 1 Day Out:

I've paid little attention to the Hunter Biden story but happened to read this article about how the Wall Street Journal treated it when it was delivered by Trump's people to the Journal https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/25/business/media/hunter-biden-wall-street-journal-trump.html

While I've been talking a lot about the polls, the difference between voter sentiment (which polling gauges) and valid votes actually cast should be noted. Factors affecting the latter include voter turnout, spoiled ballots, ballot submission deadlines, ballot design, polling place operations...