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If you go to Google news and do a search of "Trafalgar polls" you will find numerous mentions of them.

Have you thought ahead to the election night results, or the following days if the vote is close and it takes time to determine the result? A lot of people are emotionally engaged in the election outcome. If your side loses, how will you feel? If your side wins, how will you feel? If your...

This piece makes the case that the polls are wrong. It will be nice to review when we reviews the polls after the votes are counted. Don't believe the polls - Trump is winning

Less of a concern today as the truly incompetent supervisor of elections, who occupied that seat for a long time, has been replaced.

Now that Trump has established a 6-3 majority of conservative judges on the U.S. Supreme Court, I'm wondering; how many Christian conservative voters, who have never liked Trump's non-Christian ways, but voted for him to support their high-priority pro-life agenda, will decide that Trump is no...

Maybe because it's like the report I posted say it is? No story to report. Allegations and rumors generated by Trump and friends, but nothing that can be objectively substantiated; even by the Trump-friendly Wall Street Journal.

Voter remorse seems apparent in a number of states; as indicated by the number of states Trump won in 2016 that the polls now show Biden ahead. Black voter turnout is said to be much higher in 2020 than 2016, suggesting a different kind of remorse; remorse about not showing up to vote in 2016...

4 Weeks Out: Biden +9.0 3 Weeks Out: Biden +10.4 2 Weeks Out: Biden +10.7 1 Week Out: Biden +9.4 1 Day Out:

I've paid little attention to the Hunter Biden story but happened to read this article about how the Wall Street Journal treated it when it was delivered by Trump's people to the Journal https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/25/business/media/hunter-biden-wall-street-journal-trump.html

While I've been talking a lot about the polls, the difference between voter sentiment (which polling gauges) and valid votes actually cast should be noted. Factors affecting the latter include voter turnout, spoiled ballots, ballot submission deadlines, ballot design, polling place operations...

You are correct. I agree.

That is entirely possible. Yes. And there are counties where Biden has that lead. But the question is not how the candidates are doing in this county or that now. It's how they will do statewide, and nationwide, after all the votes are counted.

No surprise there. Rasmussen has always been a few points more favorable toward Trump than most others.

Data From the Trafalger website. Some of the Trafalger data is weeks old. FiveThirtyEight/Trafalger AZ (11) Biden +3.5/Trump +5.0 FL (29) Biden +3.8/Trump +3.1 GA (16) Biden +0.9/Trump +6.5 IA (6) Biden +1.0/Not Listed MI (16) Biden +8.0/Trump +0.6 MN (10) Biden +7.9/Trump +0.4 NV (6) Biden...

The news stories are coming in following last night's debate. Answering the question, "Who won the debate?" depends on how you define the win. Is is about likability? Truthfulness? Voter minds changed? Candidate poise? Special jabs placed by one candidate against the next? Having read a range...

In this Fox News article, Trafalger's chief pollster speaks of the other polls saying, “What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote." Is there such a thing as hidden Trump voters that the other pollsters are missing? If so, will these shy voters turn...

That depends on the question asked. I started posting weekly national FiveThirtyEight poll summary results here, acknowledging that national polls and Electoral College results are two different things. My purpose in posting the weekly national results was -- and still is -- to provide a handy...

Hearing from who? Which polls? What time frame? I have no knowledge of polls tightening or widening beyond the FiveThirtyEight summary I've pointed to in this thread. RealClearPolitics is a similar summary service. If the polls are moving in one direction or another, it is fair to say that would...

Based on poll results, it appears Biden's recliner strategy is working.

The FiveThirtyEight aggregate of Florida polls shows today's number is Biden +3.6. They provide a handy at-a-glance chart here that shows the polling range over recent months. While the range varies, Biden has been ahead of Trump every week since early April. Above, I said (in this post), "The...