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This is good. It shows the poll results about 3 weeks out from Election Day, 2016 (Nov 8). The closer a poll is taken to Election Day, the more accurate it can be presumed to be as something that projects the outcome. The 2016 data posted above showed Clinton leading in most polls by zero to...

OK. I think I understand your point. Some people lie to the pollsters because they want to make the Democrats feel bad. But I remain confused about how the lying itself actually has that effect. How exactly does lying to a pollster produce this result? A pollster calls a voter. The Trump voter...

I have not heard of Operation Chaos until you mentioned it. A Google search shows Operation Chaos was an effort to get Republicans to vote for Bernie Sanders in the open Democratic Primary in S.C. While the idea got a bit of press and was promoted by Trump and Limbaugh, Republicans did not...

Update: 4 Weeks Out: Biden + 9.0 3 Weeks Out: Biden +10.4 2 Weeks Out: 1 Week Out: 1 Day Out:

A continual theme in this forum is poll inaccuracy. Below is a snapshot of the polls as they stand to date. It is from FiveThirtyEight, an entity that reports data from numerous polls. I share this not to argue about the accuracy or inaccuracy of today's polling, but to document what the polls...

People are jailed for tax fraud. That's different than disallowed deductions. I do not disagree. That is something I am definitely NOT going to do. My time would be better spent reviewing my own business tax returns. As I said elsewhere in this thread, tax law is vague and complex. The...

I want to modify my statement about haircuts. After a little reading about the tax destructibility of haircuts, it may not be the case that a deductions for haircuts (hair styling) are allowed. On the other hand, given the trademark nature of Trump's hair, he might succeed in convincing the IRS...

Despite Trump's best efforts to keep them under wraps, his tax returns are moving closer and closer to public view. They are being leaked to news organizations. Courts are ruling against Trump and in favor of investigating entities who want those returns turned over to them. That said, Trump's...

Among super-PACs, Biden is leading Trump 3 to 1. Are the big-money GOP donors reducing their support? Story here

The self-destruction continues. At yesterday's coronavirus press briefing, Trump associated himself with Dr. Stella Immanuel. He previously did so by retweeting a video that included her remarks about COVID-19 and hydroxychloroquine. In addition to claiming she has a cure for COVID-19...

OK. I'll grant that response. In my post above, the response I had in mind was more like an actual relief bill that would be signed into law soon enough (like last week or earlier) that would give all Americans an idea of what or what is not coming next. What we have now is more uncertainty and...

Can you provide a link to one of the better studies? It seems preposterous to me what you are suggesting. I'm interested in learning more.

After the first coronavirus aid bill was passed and signed by the president, the Democratic-controlled House passed its second coronavirus aid bill in May. The Republican-controlled Senate took no action on it and as of today, two months after the House acted, has not produced a bill of its own...

What studies?

Are you saying the left is subject to confirmation bias but the right is not?

If Trump loses the election, it is going to be really interesting to see how the fight for the Trump audience develops. "President Trump has more than six times as many followers on Twitter as he did when he was elected to office in 2016. He gained nearly 1.7 million followers in the past...

Fauci responds: Dr. Fauci responds to 'mischievous' criticism after he was photographed with mask off at Nationals game His response seems reasonable to me. Diane, our gym staff and I wear masks at work, but when we eat or drink, they come off. We advertise that our staff is masked. If someone...

I have no way to know the mind of Fox News, but one thing thing I'm watching for as a possibility is the Fox News decision to turn on Trump or somehow distance themselves from him in some way. If they come to believe he is going to lose (which they may already believe), their challenge will be...

You might be right. It may be that Biden's campaign strategy is to stay as quiet and say as little as possible. Instead of working to defeat Trump, let Trump self-destruct. Poll numbers suggest that strategy is working so far, and now that Trump has resumed his coronavirus briefings, more...

Donald Trump recently tweeted a photo of himself wearing a mask and wrote: "many people say that it is Patriotic to wear a face mask when you can't socially distance. There is nobody more Patriotic than me, your favorite President!" On another occasion, he said, "Whether you like the mask or...