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Yes, I am. You can raise all the suspicion and attribute all the motives you want. The poll is a long-standing, highly respected poll. One of the reasons I am not a poll junkie is polling is, by its very nature, problematic. The Iowa Poll, distinguished by its methodology, stands out as a...

I'm not as fond of polls as you are. I am accepting as credible, the highly respected Iowa Poll. It shows Trump will lose Iowa. I'm taking that shocker as an indicator that Harris support is stronger than most polls show in other states too. You can find all the comfort you want in all the...

Trump is Losing North Carolina and He Knows It North Carolina has gone red in the last three presidential elections. Harris is the leader in NC now. Trump knows it and he's doing multiple appearances there in the campaign's closing days to try to keep it red. Multiple stops there means he's not...

Selzer Accuracy From ChatGPT. Can be confirmed with other sources: "In the 2004 presidential election, Ann Selzer's polling in Iowa projected John Kerry to perform well, aligning with the state's previous support for Democrats in presidential elections. However, despite Selzer's reputation for...

Yep, I knew this was coming too. As I said, Enjoy.

Maybe Iowa is a case in point?

I was certain this would be your response. Throw out a poll to counter the Iowa Poll news. Enjoy. Election Day is Tuesday.

Maybe Abortion is the Second-Most Defining Issue of 2024 This graphic comes form today's Iowa Poll. If this state poll is correct, and if it indicates a national outcome, the voters who rise to defeat Trump will be women who vote for Harris in high enough numbers to make the difference. Per...

And that's what has abortion rights advocates up in arms. The government (state or otherwise) should not tell women what to do with their own bodies. That's up to the women -period. There is no such thing as a Trump abortion ban, but there is such a thing as a President Trump who appointed...

When Hillary made her "deplorables" comment, none of them associated themselves with trash by dressing up. Following Trump and son's lead, some did. They directly and intentionally associated themselves with trash as all Americans watched. As I said, that's not something any campaign consultant...

Now We Can Talk of the Polls I have said repeatedly in this forum that early polls are meaningless. That's because the snapshots they take at the time do not account for the many variables and developments that will surface before Election Day. Now with early voting well underway, and all...

Liking This I don't care much for Joe Walsh, and I have no way of knowing if these words of his are true, but I do like the observations he shares. We'll know in a few days how right or wrong he is.

You do understand that Biden is not a presidential candidate, right?

More Hard Data Hard Data: Women have outpaced men in early-voting turnout by nearly 10 percentage points. Interpretation: Advantage Harris because: "Harris is performing significantly better among women and Trump with men polling has shown. A USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll taken Oct. 14 to...

Yes it was; a solidarity fashion statement that associates Trump and MAGA with trash. Highly effective optics.

Georgia Early Voting and Population Shifts: Advantage Harris With the polls close and the spinners hyperactive about voter registration and early voting, it's been hard to read the tea leaves. In GA, we get a bit of clarity as early voting has closed, and the state has released the numbers as...

Not tucked away after all. President Biden arrives in Scranton for campaign event https://www.pahomepage.com/news/president-biden-arrives-in-scranton-for-campaign-event/

As a former expediter with 10 years on the road, I have climbed into Class 8 trucks wearing all kinds of footwear, including dress shoes. Wearing dress shoes in no way enhances or degrades one's ability to climb into a truck.

Because, as I said, the fact that garbage-man-clad Trump eventually climbed into a garbage truck does not negate his painfully obvious proprioception and balance lapses. Trump eventually got into the truck under his own power. On the way, he demonstrated his declining functional abilities...

Practicing for Putin Practicing for prison Turning out the non-highly educated male vote MAGA going gay