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  1. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    By the way, in New York, which is one of many states taking up this action, it's called the TRUMP act; Tax Returns Uniformly Made Public. Interesting discussion about it in this article and this one and this one.
  2. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    If only it was that simple. With payroll now, we hire a service to keep up with all the employment tax BS, AND we send a percentage of the employee's pay to the government, AND we send an additional amount to the government that comes out of our pocket.
  3. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Maybe so, maybe not. While I don't have the insight into the Supreme Court you do, I do not share your confidence the Court would easily find against this mandate. We're not talking privacy. We're talking ballot access, which the states clearly control and which they have often used to allow one...
  4. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Trump made a complimentary statement about Australia's health care system; a system that resembles Obamacare. His staff quickly walked that back. In 2000, Trump published a book in which he advocated universal health care. While he is attacking Obamacare now and celebrating the "repeal and...
  5. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    It would be the same thing exactly, except the analogy breaks down because Trump was a presidential candidate and is now president. Candidates for high office typically and traditionally release their tax returns for public view. Now that we have a president who chooses not to do so, the...
  6. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    I heard a news story on the radio a while back that talked about how the president's tax return is treated very carefully at the IRS. I don't recall the details but remember something about the returns being kept in a special safe. While recent presidents and presidential candidates release...
  7. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    This article talks about the possibility that the New York state legislature may pas a law that would require the state tax authority to post on its website the last five years of returns filed by the president and vice president, the state’s two U.S. senators, as well as the governor...
  8. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    I freely admit to confirmation bias. I have made a prediction based on my view of the political landscape at the time. When something develops that suggests the prediction will come true, of course I will notice it. Of course I will highlight it. That said, just because I have a bias, it does...
  9. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    In today's news, Trump is about to sign a bill that counteracts several of his stated initiatives. In so doing, he is avoiding a threatened government shutdown. Then he says (Tweets) “Our country needs a good ‘shutdown’ in September to fix mess!” He acts to avoid a shutdown and then calls for a...
  10. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    If you predict that a bridge is likely to fall because of its deteriorating condition, it is neither wishful thinking nor critical thinking to bring it to the attention of others that yet another crack in the bridge has developed.
  11. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Trump did not write The Art of the Deal. He hired a ghost writer named Tony Schwartz to write it. Regarding context, what Tony Schwartz has to say about Trump is significant. About Trump, Schwartz says, "Lying is second nature to him." Schwartz characterizes Trump as a a pathological liar and...
  12. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Except, my prediction/views are not based on that single article. The elements of Trump's upcoming impeachment that need to align all existed the day he was elected. The article shows some of the movement now underway that will bring the elements of impeachment into alignment. When Trump...
  13. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Fox News: Frustrated Conservatives Ready to Start Winning Under Trump With the passage of time, Trump's behavior patterns in office are becoming more clear, as is the response from various sources. Trump is clearly NOT the capable deal maker he presented himself to be on the campaign trail...
  14. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    This is an understandable comment, the sentiment of which is probably shared by any president who feels obstructed by Congress. It would be a stretch to imply from these words that Trump has it in mind to somehow undermine the Constitution or the system of checks and balances it provides. We...
  15. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Your interest is in social science, mine is more inclined toward hard data. You're right. A meaningful discussion about the effect of "the economy" on presidential elections is impossible if we cannot agree on the objective standards that would set the context for such a conversation. The...
  16. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Regarding the effect of "the economy" on election results, I came across this interesting piece, "Which Economic Indicators Best Predict Presidential Elections?" Excerpt: "The first thing to notice is that no individual economic variable has an r-squared higher than .46, meaning that none [of...
  17. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    Our posts crossed each other as we each wrote and posted. Please see my edited post above. Main question, how exactly does one match "a healthy economy" with a presidential election result? When you say, "healthy economy" what do you mean exactly? Part of my problem with this is "the economy"...
  18. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    That's a widely held assumption but I'm not so sure. Do you have a source or citation that backs your assertion that "the health of the economy is the single strongest factor in the election, or not of a president?" When matching election results to "the health of the economy," how exactly do...
  19. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    In recent years and through the last few economic cycles (expansion/contraction), a profound development has been the concentration of wealth at the top and and the accompanying decline of the middle class. This long-term trend has continued regardless of political party and regardless of who...
  20. ATeam

    The Trump Card...

    It is always hazardous to assume you know the mindset of another human being. In the case of Donald Trump, one person can make a credible assessment of Trump's mindset, while another person can make an equally credible assessment that paints a completely different picture. Aware of that, I have...
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