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Where are the Trump Coattails? Trump is on the ballot now. But no positive effect from his coattails is evident. So are Trump's coattails not working? Or are they working exactly as some predicted they would, only in a down direction instead of up? Coattails or no coattails, the Republican...

The Man Raises a Good Question Yesterday's Vance "rally" in Michigan was attended by almost no one. I've searched for other photos of the event. I found a few. At most, 200 people showed up to hear Trump's running mate speak less than 90 days ahead Election Day. That's an embarrassing event...

Another Trump Press Conference Trump will hold a press conference later today in Bedminsister, NJ. By all accounts, the rambling Mar-a-Lago press conference he did last week was a disaster. Seeing that, a number of Harris supporters expressed the wish that Trump would do a press conference...

GOP Pollster Luntz: Trump is Committing Political Suicide https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4828533-luntz-trump-committing-political-suicide-harris-intensity-advantage/

Oops. I guess today won't be the day Trump sets things right. His North Carolina event was more of the same before a small crowd in a small arena. Maybe he'll set things right tomorrow.

This Sums Things Up Nicely "... voters have seen Trump’s politics of rage and division before. Given a fresh choice, most Americans are eager for something — anything — new. "A new crop of national and state-level polls bear out the reality that voters are simply ready to move on from the...

Trump Will Set Things Right Today Trump is scheduled to speak at a rally in Asheville, NC at 4pm today. The venue is 7,000+ seats with a nearby overflow venue of 2,000+. The event is billed as Trump speaking on the economy. This is Trump's time to shine. Finally, he can step away from his...

Momentum Continues; Harris Now Leads Trump in 5 of 7 Swing States "According to the Cook Political Report Swing State Project Survey, released on August 14, when third party candidates are included, Harris is leading Trump in five of the seven battleground states. In May 2024, Trump was leading...

Chipping Away at Trump's Base As the writer points out, Harris has no hope of winning the majority of conservative evangelicals. But Democrats in prior presidential elections have been able to win some of them over. And as the numbers show, if the number is high enough it can make a decisive...

Harris Takes a Nine Point Lead in Wisconsin Harris is wisely cautioning her supporters that this will be a tight race right up to Election Day. While I'm reluctant to entertain the notion of a major, double-digit defeat of Donald Trump in November, I do like the idea. Since Harris became a...

Yet Another Red State Moving Toward Enshrining Abortion Rights This is a serious blow to Trump in Missouri. The people who show up to vote for abortion rights will also be highly likely to vote for Harris, the candidate who supports abortion rights. The same dynamic exists in six other states...

Still the Defining Issue of 2024 "And when it comes to voting on the issue of abortion, a Gallup poll conducted in May found 32 percent of U.S. adults will only vote for candidates who share their views on abortion, with a growing number of pro-choice voters saying they are prioritizing this...

Harris is "Within Striking Distance" in Florida This will force Trump to spend money in Florida he would not have otherwise spent. That's a double-whammy since Harris has more money to work with than Trump. She is raising more and she does not have the legal bills Trump is spending millions of...

Trump & Allies Finally Responding to Harris In recent days, Trump and his allies: Posted on X for first time in a year Did 2-hour online visit with Musk Announced a $100 million swing-state ad spend Scheduled two swing state events Hired Taylor Budowich Will it be enough? I don't think so...

GOP Pollster Frank Luntz Explains Harris's Surge & Trump's Decline Frank Luntz continuously runs focus groups to learn and explain voter sentiment. In this five-minute interview, he explains why he thinks Harris would win the election if it was held today. Luntz also explains exactly how...

The Media Will Turn on Harris Newly in the race for president, Harris is enjoying a honeymoon period and more. She is vastly outperforming Trump in his favorite crowd-size indicator, in fundraising, and in organizing hundreds of thousands if not millions of volunteers for voter registration and...

Energy, Crowds, Volunteers (and an additional $12 Million) At a San Fransisco fundraiser yesterday, Harris said, "The energy is undeniable. The crowds are large. But even better is the fact that, like last night in Las Vegas, attendees are signing up for volunteer shifts by the thousands."...

The Demographics Favor Harris Curious about the demographics, I asked ChatGPT to tell me about the trend. Specifically, I asked about the number of older people who died since Nov. 2020 (the last time Trump stood for election), and how many younger people have attained voting age in the same...

Quote of the Week “The campaign is disciplined; their candidate is not,” said Frank Luntz, a consultant and pollster who has a long track record of advising Republican campaigns. “[Trump] is single-handedly destroying his chance for re-election. This is the weakest Democratic nominee in terms...

More Evidence Trump is Losing It Trump's perception of reality is genuinely questionable. Mentally healthy people do not do this and expect to be believed. The man is a lying machine who seems unable to tell the difference between what is true and what is not. This isn't about him lying for...