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DeSantis Polling Plunge Continues In January, according to the FiveThirtyEight average of all polls, DeSantis' was polling 40.5% which was his all-time high. Today, he's at 15.6%. A New Hampshire poll just put him in single digits at 9%, which ties him with Chris Christie. (Source) A Fox...

That's a fair point, and one that makes another; namely, abortion rights votes motivate Democrats more than Republicans, when abortion rights are threatened.

I've said it before. Trump is a flight risk. He would defect to Russia before serving time in a US prison. Just recently, he's talking about living in France.

Yes. Rights are limited by age in many cases. Some say today no one should be allowed to hold public office if they are above a certain age. If implemented, that too would be a case of limiting rights. In the Issue 1 case, the question was not age but voting majority. Should the majority...

In fact, the Republicans did turn out. The issue failed because many of the Republicans who showed up voted against it. They too wanted to keep the right to amend the state constitution in the hands of the people. Issue 1 was soundly defeated by a bipartisan majority of voters who joined...

How do you explain the MASSIVE turnout? "The roughly 2.8 million votes cast dwarfed the 1.66 million ballots counted in the state’s 2022 primary elections, in which races for governor, the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House were up for grabs." (Source)

Bingo!

For some voters, yes. That was their primary reason for voting "No." For many others, as reported by the voters themselves, Issue 1 was seen as a proxy vote on abortion and preserving abortion rights was their reason for coming out to vote. With the majority of SCOTUS justices being staunchly...

Why This is The Defining Issue A quote came out of yesterday's special election in Ohio which nicely summarizes why the defining issue of 2024 is abortion rights. "The outcome is also a major challenge for opponents of abortion. They might come to see the Supreme Court’s decision overturning...

We all know Biden is old and getting older. Like Trump, he could pass away or stroke out at any moment. If he does, the Democrats will not nominate no one. They will produce a nominee. In the event of Biden's death or withdrawal for health reasons, Harris has the edge, but she does not have a...

Issue 1 Analysis In an Aug. 8, 2023, special election called by the state legislature, Ohio voters resoundingly rejected a Republican-backed measure that would have made it more difficult to change the state’s constitution. The ballot question was entitled "Issue 1." Voting: With 97% of the...

This the classic cry of a candidate's supporters when the candidate they look up to is in trouble. It's not the candidate, it's their advisors.

Ohio Issue 1 is Soundly Defeated The Associated Press has called the special election in Ohio. Issue 1 is defeated. Votes are still being totaled so we won't know the exact numbers yet. But it is clear now that the measure was defeated by a strong margin in a high-turnout election. It seems...

This is What I Mean by "Defining Issue." A defining issue is one that gets people moving to vote. The Issue 1 abortion-rights proxy vote provides a good example. "Early voter turnout has been high, which is unusual for special elections and likely reflects intense voter interest in abortion...

If people can amend the state constitution with a 50% vote now, and you want to raise the threshold to 60%, you make it harder for people to do what they could before. By definition that takes away people's rights. If legal voting age is 18 and you change it to 21, that takes away people's...

The title of this thread is not " The #1 Issue of 2024." It is "The Defining Issue of 2024." By that I mean abortion rights will define the results of the 2024 elections. Notice that in the five states where abortion rights were placed as a ballot question before the voters, the voters turned...

Ron DeSantis's problem is not his campaign staff. His problem is Ron DeSantis. He is a deeply flawed candidate on the national stage. A presidential campaign is something quite different than a state race for governor. DeSantis is finding that out the hard way.

Some are saying that, yes. But if one listens to the rhetoric on the ground and observe legislative behavior, one would reasonably conclude that Issue 1 is a bad-faith maneuver by the Republican-controlled legislature to make it harder for voters to amend their state constitution in November...

Voters Speak: The Abortion Rights Tally To Date In 2022, the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and replaced it with Dobbs v. Jackson. Roe guaranteed a constitutional right to abortion. The Dobbs decision changed that such that the issue of abortion is now left up to the states. Since then...

Ohio Issue 1 Tomorrow, Tuesday, 8/8/23, is election day in Ohio. A statewide special election has been called so citizens can vote on an item entitled "Issue 1." This is widely seen as a proxy abortion-rights vote. Early voting turnout has been astoundingly high. I am watching this vote with...